Will Mexico's Independent Weed Market Make a Difference Against the Cartels?

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Did you know that it is legal in Mexico to grow up to four plants of weed, have up to 30 grams in the streets and can get caught with up to 200 grams without any major offense happening. Well- that was supposed to be what was going to happen this April – but once again the Mexican Congress shifted their responsibilities and now has a December deadline instead.

Why? The politicians claim that it’s due to the COVID-19 outbreak – however, considering that they had since October of 2018 to come up with a reasonable plan – their excuses are falling on deaf ears. Nonetheless – some people are not waiting for the government to figure out how to move ahead with the cannabis marketplace.

Independent and small-scale “holistic” growers are attempting to undermine cartel activities and create a new organic marketplace. It’s quite refreshing to see so many different age-groups come together to grow pot.

This small-scale commerce has been left untouched by gangs or cartels and even the government. It’s a group of people who are utilizing the liminal nature of the current drug laws to grow in a legal grey area. The problem will happen once the full legal implementation of cannabis occurs within Mexico. There will most assuredly be many independent growers and suppliers trying to step into the marketplace – meaning that potentially by December of this year – the cartels could actually face stiff competition.

What will this do? Will it prompt the cartels to go on a retaliation spree? Will they focus their efforts on extorting instead? Will they simply get a bunch of independent growers to grow for them? Nobody knows as of yet – however, it does create a whole new dynamic most cannabis-sectors never have to deal with – Cartels.

Is it possible to undercut the cartels?

It most definitely is possible to overgrow the cartels – the problem comes when they come with their guns demanding that you pay them for that ‘privilege’. This means that you will have to have government support if you truly want to get the cannabis industry up and running in Mexico. The question then is, “What is the government doing to ensure that the small-scale farmers are protected from Cartel activity?”

As you can imagine – dealing with cartels is a logistics problem far superior than “who’s going to supply me my weed”. The Cartels are everywhere in Mexico and even in the US. How many officials are on their payroll? We’ve all seen Breaking Bad!

Not to mention – Mexico’s current government isn’t the best. In fact, these politicians are so old-school that they were around when Cortez came around last time.

While there are some voices in favor of cannabis in Mexico – a large portion of the country don’t know about it and another portion actively opposes it. It’s kind of a miracle that cannabis legalization has gone this far in Mexico – but it seems that somehow it’s progressing.

The biggest issue that I hope gets addressed within this following 6 month “regroup” is security for small-scale growers, shop owners, etc. The cartels pose a real problem and could stifle the growth of the cannabis industry in Mexico significantly.

Conversely – they could easily just buy out the entire cannabis infrastructure seeing that they employ a staggering amount of people. Perhaps – they simply flip the legalization effort in their favor – if I was a drug lord kingpin…that would be my ideal situation.

What’s probably going to happen?

Judging by the degenerates that run most countries – we’re probably going to get some backwards-system that benefits their closes buddies whereas the rest of the country will have to ‘suck on their benevolent teats’.

Many consumers will be growing at home – and while there is a “registration process” – I’m sure many growers will not care. This might pose a problem if the cops come strolling in – however, as long as you have less than a half a kilo in your home – you should be fine.

This also opens up another potential “revenue for the corrupt ones” to extort some cash from legal growers. I’m talking about the cops this time – not the cartels. The cartels are purists in that they are honest about what they are doing. Law Enforcement in Mexico on the other hand – that is a tad bit trickier. I’m not saying they are all corrupt – I’m just saying my level of trust in them is roughly at the same level as trusting the morbidly obese promoting cross-fit as their ideal lifestyle choice.

Will Mexican Weed Become a Global Enterprise?

With the current leadership at the helm – of course not. The short-sightedness of the average Mexican lawmakers is quite remarkable really. They flip flop from one party to the next like it’s a game of musical chairs. So many of the “New Modern MORENA party” is really just 1990s PRI politicians and friends of Mr. Big Boy himself [AMLO].

It’s sad really because Mexico has such great potential to establish an international supply chain of Cannabis. With yearlong capabilities for mass production and a cheap labor force – you could make cannabis a highly accessible good while simultaneously opening up the avenue for “Craft Marijuana” – which is what I personally am most excited about.

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